Gran Peña vs SD Sarriana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 0
BET
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 2
GRA
31%
27%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
EST
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
GRA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Sarriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOU
5 - 1
SAR
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
VIV
60%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ART
0 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 2
SOM
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |