Gran Peña vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 0
GRA
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PON
4 - 0
GRA
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEL
12%
21%
68%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RIB
3 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
PSC
42%
24%
34%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
CDV
67%
18%
14%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CUL
3 - 1
POR
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
MON
51%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |