Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Gran Peña vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
LAR
0 - 0
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
GRA
3 - 0
GIM
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 1
GRA
83%
13%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
GRA
0 - 1
ENS
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
CEL
1 - 0
GRA
50%
25%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ENS
2 - 2
CDO
41%
30%
30%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
CDG
1 - 1
CDO
29%
32%
40%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
CDO
1 - 0
AVI
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDO
33%
32%
35%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
CDO
4 - 0
PON
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |