Celta C – Gran Peña vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
14º
10º
39
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta C – Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARO
2 - 1
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
DEP
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UPH
0 - 0
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RCV
1 - 1
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
VIV
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
ALO
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
3 - 0
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |