Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-5
Gran Peña vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
GRA
4 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRA
70%
21%
9%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
DEP
2 - 0
GRA
83%
12%
4%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
GRA
0 - 2
CDG
52%
28%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
CFP
2 - 0
GRA
72%
20%
8%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
DEP
1 - 0
RCF
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
ATH
1 - 1
DEP
36%
28%
35%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
DEP
2 - 0
GRA
83%
12%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
DEP
5 - 0
BAS
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
CDG
1 - 1
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |