Gran Peña vs CD Moaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CUL
2 - 1
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 4
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 3
ARN
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Moaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MOA
3 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDV
0 - 2
MOA
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MOA
2 - 1
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PON
2 - 2
MOA
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CUL
3 - 0
MOA
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |