Gran Peña vs Boiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
8º
18
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 68 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 65 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 50 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 33 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
36% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
GRA
27%
25%
47%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
CDV
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ARO
2 - 2
GRA
51%
28%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
ART
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Boiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ARO
1 - 1
BOI
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BOI
0 - 0
SOM
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOI
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOI
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BOI
3 - 0
CDV
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |