Gran Peña vs At. Arnoia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
POR
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 1
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ARN
3 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CDV
1 - 1
ARN
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAN
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOA
1 - 1
ARN
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ARN
1 - 1
CUL
62%
18%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |