Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Gran Peña vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 0
LAL
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
46%
27%
27%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
FIS
2 - 0
GRA
43%
28%
29%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
CEL
0 - 1
GRA
44%
29%
27%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 1
DEP
67%
21%
12%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ALO
2 - 2
ARO
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ALO
2 - 2
CLU
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ARO
0 - 0
ALO
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
ALO
1 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
CDO
1 - 2
ALO
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |