Gramozi Ersekë vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gramozi Ersekë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 4
ELB
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
GRA
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 0
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
BUR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
BUT
2 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
32%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
MAM
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KUK
2 - 1
BES
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
ADA
73%
19%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
BES
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
BES
2 - 1
ILI
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |