FE Grama vs Europa B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
17º
12º
3
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
4 | 70 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 63 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 61 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 59 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 58 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 51 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 27 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 22 |
18º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FE Grama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRA
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
3 - 0
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
EUR
4 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Europa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EUR
1 - 3
PRA
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 1
EUR
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
EUR
4 - 1
CFV
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EUR
4 - 0
SAR
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
STB
0 - 1
EUR
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |