Gragnano vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
4 - 2
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
GRA
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
USV
1 - 0
NFR
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 2
USV
80%
15%
5%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USV
3 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
USV
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
USV
3 - 0
RAG
79%
15%
7%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |