Gragnano vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 1
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAV
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 3
TAR
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NFR
0 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
PIC
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SSM
1 - 5
CAV
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TAR
8 - 1
SSM
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SSM
1 - 1
NAR
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SFM
1 - 3
SSM
25%
22%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SSM
0 - 1
PIC
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |