Gragnano vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 3
TAR
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NFR
0 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
PIC
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
NAR
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SFM
2 - 4
GRA
19%
22%
60%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAV
4 - 1
SFM
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAV
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAV
2 - 0
FBC
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 1
CAV
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
FCF
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |