Gragnano vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
GRA
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
NFR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
DTO
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 3
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
SIC
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 2
SIC
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
POM
1 - 2
CAV
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAV
5 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 2
CAV
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 2
REN
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |