Gragnano vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 0
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
GEL
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 3
REG
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
GRA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
USV
3 - 0
RAA
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
SIR
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RAA
0 - 0
REN
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
RAA
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
RAA
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |