Gragnano vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
POM
0 - 1
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
RAA
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 2
GRA
79%
14%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 3
RPO
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
GRA
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 4
CAV
10%
20%
70%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SFM
2 - 2
SAR
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 3
TAR
22%
24%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FBC
1 - 0
SAR
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
NAR
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |