Gragnano vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAV
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEO
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
SAR
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
NFR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
USV
1 - 2
REN
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
REN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
3 - 1
REN
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |