Gragnano vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
2 - 2
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
GEL
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
GRA
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
POM
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
USC
1 - 3
GEL
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POM
2 - 1
USC
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
USC
0 - 0
DTO
36%
25%
40%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
2 - 1
USC
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
USC
0 - 0
SIC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |