Gragnano vs USD Bitonto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
POM
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TAR
3 - 2
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
PIC
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SOR
1 - 0
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
USB
2 - 2
FCS
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
USB
19%
20%
62%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 2
USB
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USB
3 - 1
AUD
45%
22%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
USB
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +2 |