Gragnano vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
GRA
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 0
GRA
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
4 - 0
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
AUD
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
AUD
0 - 2
JUS
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |