Super Liga Serbia - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 1-3
Grafičar vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
RNB
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
INI
3 - 0
GRA
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
NOV
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
JED
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 2
RAD
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
RAD
2 - 1
KOL
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
MNS
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
MLA
2 - 0
RAD
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 1
ČUK
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |