Grafičar vs RFK Novi Sad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
6º
4º
50
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
JED
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 2
RSM
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RSM
3 - 1
GRA
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
RFK Novi Sad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
RSM
4 - 2
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
RNB
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
INI
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
JED
3 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |