De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RJC
1 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRA
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 3
UTR
18%
26%
56%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
7 - 1
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
83%
12%
4%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |