De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
4 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VOL
2 - 1
WIL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
FEY
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 3
RKC
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |