De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 1
GRA
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
SPA
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ADO
3 - 0
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 3
PSV
21%
24%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 7
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
MVV
2 - 2
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
NEC
4 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 5
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |