De Graafschap vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
GRA
2 - 3
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
GRA
3 - 2
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
VIT
2 - 1
TWE
57%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
SCH
3 - 2
VIT
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
UTR
5 - 3
VIT
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
VIT
2 - 2
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |