De Graafschap vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRA
89%
7%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
TWE
8 - 0
GRA
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
GRA
5 - 3
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
EIN
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
PSV
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
RJC
1 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 2
ADO
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPA
37%
27%
35%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
27%
29%
45%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |