De Graafschap vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
BVO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 1
VVV
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 0
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCO
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EEM
3 - 3
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
TIE
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 4
SPA
18%
22%
59%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
DEM
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 2
SPA
19%
22%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |