De Graafschap vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRA
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 2
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
5 - 0
HEL
59%
21%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 1
DEL
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 1
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
RJC
1 - 4
ALM
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
FCE
2 - 3
RJC
28%
24%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 4
RJC
12%
19%
69%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
RJC
4 - 2
SPA
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RJC
3 - 0
SPA
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |