De Graafschap vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
TEL
2 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
ADO
6 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 0
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 1
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
RJC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
3 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
RJC
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |