De Graafschap vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
FEY
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
PSV
6 - 0
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 0
PSV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |