De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 4
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
RKC
2 - 2
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
RBC
3 - 0
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 1
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BOS
0 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |