De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 1
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
RJC
4 - 3
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
TWE
4 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 0
NEC
58%
22%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 3
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 3
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |