De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FEY
1 - 0
GRA
88%
9%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
7%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 0
ZWO
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NEC
3 - 3
SPA
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 1
ADO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |