De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
GRA
3 - 1
MVV
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ADO
0 - 1
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
GRA
0 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
NEC
3 - 0
HFC
58%
25%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 3
NEC
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
22%
30%
49%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |