De Graafschap vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
3 - 3
FEY
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 3
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ADO
2 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 0
TWE
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
ZWO
1 - 2
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 4
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
FEY
0 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |