De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
2 - 1
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
4 - 1
EIN
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 2
MLL
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
8 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FCO
1 - 2
GRA
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
JUT
1 - 1
FCD
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
JUT
74%
18%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |