De Graafschap vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 0
GRA
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 2
TWE
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
30%
29%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |