De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
JON
4 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 3
FCD
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
5 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HEL
2 - 0
VOL
25%
23%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
JUT
1 - 0
HEL
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 1
RKC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
KOZ
3 - 0
HEL
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HEL
2 - 1
VVV
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |