De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCE
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
TEL
64%
20%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
FCO
4 - 2
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
0 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
BVV
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
VOL
3 - 0
HEL
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
HEL
2 - 0
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
HEL
0 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
HFC
3 - 2
HEL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
HEL
0 - 5
FCE
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |