De Graafschap vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 1
RJC
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SPA
6 - 1
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 1
VVV
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SCH
4 - 0
AZA
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 1
FEY
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |