De Graafschap vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
WIL
6 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
2 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
SCH
0 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 6
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
SCH
0 - 0
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
SCH
4 - 3
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 0
FEY
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |