De Graafschap vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
GRA
2 - 2
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
GRA
0 - 2
SPA
49%
24%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
VIT
3 - 2
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
2 - 0
RKC
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
SPA
0 - 3
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
PSV
0 - 1
SCH
78%
13%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |