De Graafschap vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 1
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 0
NEC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
RJC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 5
AMS
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
HFC
1 - 1
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
RJC
1 - 1
HFC
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
HFC
3 - 1
AMS
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
FEY
7 - 0
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
HFC
0 - 0
GAE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |