De Graafschap vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
ZWO
2 - 3
GRA
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 0
FCO
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
3 - 3
GRA
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 2
HEL
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
FCE
2 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
VVV
3 - 0
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
GAE
2 - 1
TEL
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
APE
2 - 1
GAE
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
GAE
4 - 0
BVV
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |