De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
PER
3 - 4
GRA
11%
16%
73%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
VIT
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
8 - 0
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
ZWO
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GNK
1 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
BVO
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FEY
0 - 2
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 3
AZA
20%
21%
59%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |