De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
PSV
0 - 2
GRA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
HEL
44%
24%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 5
BOS
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOS
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCO
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 1
FOR
63%
20%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 2
EIN
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |