De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
RKC
1 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 2
VIT
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
NEC
2 - 1
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
FOR
1 - 1
AZA
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
FOR
0 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
RBC
3 - 1
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
RJC
1 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |