De Graafschap vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 5
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VVS
3 - 3
GRA
9%
14%
77%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 0
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
ZWO
72%
17%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
ZWO
6%
13%
82%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | +2 |